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August Credit Data Points to Shifting Growth Drivers

2026-09-16

China’s latest August financial statistics paint a clear picture of accelerating change in the country’s growth drivers, with the contrasting moves of M2 and M1 sending a meaningful macroeconomic signal. At end-August, M2 grew 7.5% year on year, down 0.2 percentage points from the prior month; the mild slowdown in broad money points to a steadier, well-anchored pace of liquidity supply.

M1, by contrast, rose 4.1% year on year, up 0.1 percentage point month on month. Because M1 tracks corporate demand deposits, its pickup suggests improving business activity and faster cash turnover — tentative signs that production and investment sentiment among real-economy firms is being restored.

Analysts note that the opposite movements of M2 and M1 indicate liquidity is no longer merely pooling in the financial system but is flowing into the real economy — a clear “funds-to-real-economy” trend. Credit structures are also improving: medium- and long-term loans to manufacturing and tech enterprises have stayed strong, while real-estate-related credit is repairing gradually. Overall, China’s financial conditions remain accommodative and the recovery is progressing steadily. Looking ahead, policy will keep focusing on consolidating the real-economy recovery and smoothing the transition between old and new growth engines.

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